4 Card Split Pay Table and Analysis

Analysis Knight Rider

4 Card Split Pay Table and Analysis

4 Card Split Pay Table and Analysis
Ante & 4 Card Blind Pay Table

Ante
HAND PAYS
Royal flush 30
Straight flush 12
Three of a kind 8
Straight 3
Flush 2
All other* 1


4 Card Blind
HAND PAYS
Royal flush 500
Four of a kind 150
Straight flush 50
Three of a kind 8
Flush 7
Straight 5
Two pair 4
Tens or better 2


Strategy of 4 Card Split
To begin, you should place as little money as possible on the 4 Card Split bet. So, bet the same amount on it as you would on any other Ante bet. Don't be tempted by the dealer to place additional money on it.

Next, I'm afraid you're on your own when it comes to devising a method for splitting your four cards. Nobody has yet, as far as I'm aware, examined a technique for doing so.

Finally, here is a strategy for deciding whether to raise or fold each hand individually. It is based on a combination of rack card strategy and guidance from the game owner on how to play three-card hands.

Three Cards
A flush or higher is a natural winner, and there is no need to make a choice. Follow the one-card technique below with any other three-card hand.

Two Cards
If any of the following are true, raise them; else, fold.
  • Any pair
  • Draw a flush
  • Straight draw with no end in sight
  • The high card defeats the dealer's up card in an inside straight draw.
  • Play A-10 or higher against the dealer's ace.
  • Play K-10 or higher against the dealer king.
  • Play J-10 or higher against the dealer queen.
  • Play A-10 or higher against the dealer jack.


One Cards
Fold unless you have a jack or higher that beats the dealer up card.

The Ante and Play bets can have a variety of results, as seen in the first table. Each Ante bet can win 16.84% units, according to the lower right cell.

Analysis of Ante and Play bet
EVENT PAYS PROBABILITY RETURN
Win w/ royal flush vs qualified dealer 31 0.02% 0.72%
Win w/ royal flush vs unqualified dealer 30 0.01% 0.24%
Natural royal flush 30 0.04% 1.09%
Win w/ straight flush vs qualified dealer 13 0.20% 2.66%
Win w/ straight flush vs unqualified dealer 12 0.06% 0.71%
Natural straight flush 12 0.39% 4.68%
Win w/ three of a kind vs qualified dealer 9 0.30% 2.68%
Win w/ three of a kind vs unqualified dealer 8 0.08% 0.62%
Natural three of a kind 8 0.46% 3.71%
Win w/ straight vs qualified dealer 4 2.46% 9.84%
Win w/ straight vs unqualified dealer 3 0.79% 2.37%
Win w/flush vs qualified dealer 3 3.68% 11.03%
Natural straight 3 5.36% 16.09%
Win w/flush vs unqualified dealer 2 1.36% 2.73%
Win w/ pair vs qualified dealer 2 8.73% 17.47%
Win w/ high card vs qualified dealer 2 2.69% 5.37%
Natural flush 2 7.64% 15.29%
Win w/ pair vs unqualified dealer 1 4.72% 4.72%
Win w/ high card vs unqualified dealer 1 7.18% 7.18%
Tie vs qualified dealer 0 0.05% 0.00%
Tie vs unqualified dealer 0 0.02% 0.00%
Lose w/ high card vs unqualified dealer -1 2.88% -2.88%
Fold -1 12.27% -12.27%
Lose w/ straight flush vs qualified dealer -2 0.00% 0.00%
Lose w/ three of a kind vs qualified dealer -2 0.00% -0.01%
Lose w/ straight vs qualified dealer -2 0.17% -0.35%
Lose w/flush vs qualified dealer -2 0.94% -1.89%
Lose w/ pair vs qualified dealer -2 7.35% -14.70%
Lose w/ high card vs qualified dealer -2 30.13% -60.26%
Total 100.00% 16.84%


The 4 Card Blind bet analysis is shown in the table below. A projected loss of -34.7268% units is shown in the lower right cell.

Analysis of 4 Card Blind bet
HAND PAYS PROBABILITY RETURN
Royal Flush 500 0.00% 0.74%
Four-of-a-Kind 150 0.00% 0.72%
Straight Flush 50 0.01% 0.74%
Three-of-a-Kind 8 0.92% 7.38%
Flush 7 1.04% 7.28%
Straight 5 1.02% 5.12%
Two Pairs 4 1.04% 4.15%
Tens or better 2 11.70% 23.40%
All other -1 84.25% -84.25%
Total 100.00% -34.73%


The predicted win is 20.168371 -0.347268 = -0.010525 when the two mandatory Ante bets are combined with an equal 4 Card Split bet. The house advantage is calculated as 0.010525/3 = 0.003508, or 0.35%, of the predicted player loss, divided by the initial needed stake.

For each Ante bet, the player will make a Play bet of 73.8304 %. As a result, the average final wager will be 3 + 20.738304 = 4.476608. This would result in an Element of Risk of 0.010525/4.476608 = 0.002351, or 0.24 %, defined as the projected loss ratio to average final stake.

This is one of the best bets you'll discover in the casino if you stick to the best player approach.